Toronto Blue Jays Dynasty Sleepers, Breakouts, and Bust

With dynasty season ramping up, I figured it was time to talk about some sleepers, breakouts, and busts for each team. You can find my rankings and reports to see how I value players for your dynasty leagues, but I also feel like it’s helpful to truly identify whether I believe a player can be a breakout or not. Here is where I call my shots on players I think require a call to action in dynasty, whether it be to buy or sell that player.

While you are here, be sure to check out the updated Toronto Blue top prospect list, updated with new international prospects. Who is thriving and moving up boards? Which prospect has gotten the most buzz this spring? Check out the Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects!

Toronto Blue Jays Dynasty Sleepers, Breakouts, and Busts

MLB Sleeper: Bo Bichette, SS, 27, 6’0”/190

It really feels dumb to call Bichette a sleeper at this point. He is entering his sixth year of Major League Baseball and is quite a well-known name. But the dynasty and redraft communities are rather down on Bichette, which leads to buying opportunity. At this price, people are sleeping on what Bichette can bring to the table.

Bichette homered on Monday, his second of the spring and looks like he is ready for a huge bounceback season in 2025. All three of Bichette’s batted balls were at or north of 100 mph with the home run leaving the bat at 109.5 mph.

Running a 52 percent hard-hit rate with a 95 mph average and 90th percentile exit velocity near 108 mph stands out in a big way for a hitter like Bichette. Last season he ran an 89 mph average exit velocity but his barrel rate dipped down to 4.4 percent. So far this spring, its north of eight percent.

It is a contract year and we typically see hitters perform well in those seasons. Bichette just turned 27 years old and could bounce back in a big way in 2025. What should you expect? I think he hits 25 home runs this year with 10 stolen bases. Bichette is healthy for the first time in years and has a ton to like, including a very solid feel to hit and sneaky pop.

MLB Breakout: Alan Roden, OF, 25, 5’11”/215, AAA

Roden is one of the more underrated hitters in the minors. A 2022 third-rounder out of Creighton University, Roden has done nothing but hit since joining the Blue Jays organization, having a career .289 average and .407 OBP.

He finished the season hotter than any hitter in baseball. From July 13 forward, Roden posted an impressive .366/.447/.591 slash with just a 13.5 percent strikeout rate while walking nearly 12 percent of the time.

Roden has always been known for his strong hit tool, posting a contact rate near 84 percent overall this year. His zone contact rate of 92 percent stands out, and he picks his spots well, chasing just 26 percent of pitches out of the zone.

Roden pairs those skills with a 90th percentile exit velocity that was just shy of the MLB average at 103 mph. While he consistently gets to the pull side, over 50 percent of those batted balls were on the ground. The overall launch angle on pulled balls was seven degrees.

The underrated part of Roden’s game is his athleticism. You may not see that by looking at him, but Roden moves quickly and gets faster in space. He had four triples in 2024 and turned several singles into hustle doubles. He was also successful on 14 of 15 stolen base attempts.

I think Roden can make some slight tweaks to increase his home run output, but we are talking about someone who hit 16 this year with 46 extra-base hits. He swiped 14 bags and has impressive contact skills.

Considering the Blue Jays outfield situation, I think there is a chance Roden takes a spot and plays regularly pretty early in the season, especially with how well Roden has performed this year.

MLB Bust: Dalton Varsho, OF, 28, 5’8”/207

Varsho is a tough profile to evaluate. On one hand, he is highly valuable in the field, one of the best defensive center fielders in the game. He also is pretty bad at the plate and has declined substantially the last few years.

He underwent surgery on his rotator cuff in his right shoulder which is his throwing arm, and lead arm in his swing. Varsho is back hitting this spring, which is good, but there is uncertainty if he will be ready to be back in center on Opening Day.

At the plate, what can we expect? Shoulder injuries can be tricky to come back from and there are already concerns in the profile. Varsho posted a 79 percent in-zone contact rate last season, which is three ticks below MLB average. The overall contact rate of 72 percent was 36th percentile for all hitters. The approach is good overall, but I would like to see Varsho be more aggressive on pitches in the zone.

After hitting 27 and 20 home runs in 2022 and 2023, Varsho hit just 18 home runs in 2024, although he had just 513 plate appearances. The exit velocities are bottom of the barrel, but Varsho has benefited from ideal launch angles at times, which produced a barrel rate 31st percentile. The 86 mph average exit velocity was seventh percentile. The profile also comes with a 1st percentile squared-up rate.

Coming off the shoulder surgery, what should we expect from Varsho? This was a tough choice for the bust category as Varsho should still give you speed worst case and he is going to play every day given the gloves value.

Toronto Blue Jays Prospect Sleeper: Josh Kasevich, SS, 24, 6’2”/200, AAA

In a world where some teams emphasize hit tool and glove value, it is surprising to see Kasevich fly so under the radar. Kasevich has one of the more advanced hit tools in the Minors, posting a contact rate of 90 percent, with an insane 95 percent in-zone mark. There is not a pitch type he struggles to put the bat on either.

Kasevich is no slouch when it comes to hitting the ball hard, either. His 90th percentile exit velocity of 103.5 mph is right at MLB average, and his 89.5 mph average exit velocity is also solid. The biggest issue is a nearly 50 percent ground ball and all-fields approach. While that is not necessarily bad, it limits his home run output, which is why Kasevich hit just six home runs in 2024.

He brings a selective approach, not chasing often and rarely swinging and missing. But to this point in his professional career, 82 percent of Kasevich’s hits have been singles. I believe there is more to unlock here, and the profile is fascinating, especially when you factor in good foot speed and solid ability at shortstop. Kasevic could blossom in 2025, and I would not be surprised.

Toronto Blue Jays Prospect Breakout: RJ Schreck, OF, 24, 6’1”/205, AA

The Blue Jays might have made out well flipping Justin Turner to Seattle for RJ Schreck. Having a strong season in 2024, Schreck spent time between High-A and Double-A, slashing .251/.388/.462 with 17 home runs and 48 extra-base hits. He walked nearly as much as he struck out and posted impressive contact skills.

Given the batting average, you probably would not expect Schreck to have plus contact skills, but he checked in with an overall rate of 82 percent. The ninth-round pick out of Vanderbilt in 2023 has a substantial feel to hit with some underrated power.

While Schreck’s exit velocities are closer to average, his hardest-hit balls are in the air. Having an air rate near 70 percent, Schreck rarely puts the ball on the ground and often gets to the pull side. His barrel rate was one of the higher marks among his peers. Schreck rarely expands the zone and exhibits good pitch recognition.

Schreck has a well-rounded profile and seems to be highly underrated. It only helps that he is a solid defender in the outfield.